President Donald Trump on Monday introduced the border wall as a piece in progress, hailing the beginning of a “huge, huge portion” with rather more coming quickly. That is a hefty exaggeration from a president who has but to see an additional mile of barrier accomplished since he took workplace.

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With one other doable authorities shutdown looming, and unlawful immigration nonetheless on the coronary heart of the finances dispute, Trump is pulling out the stops to painting his proposed wall as important to public security, together with stemming crime. As he is carried out repeatedly, Trump additionally defied the report in claiming that the wall that Congress has refused to pay for is quickly coming collectively anyway.

President Donald Trump speaks during a rally in El Paso, Texas, Feb. 11, 2019.

President Donald Trump speaks throughout a rally in El Paso, Texas, Feb. 11, 2019.

Trump addressed the themes at an El Paso, Texas, rally Monday evening and an earlier White Home assembly with sheriffs. A have a look at a few of his feedback:

TRUMP, on the impact of a border wall on crime: “When that wall went up, it is an entire totally different ball sport. … I do not care whether or not a mayor is a Republican or a Democrat. They’re filled with crap after they say it hasn’t made a giant distinction. I heard the identical factor from the pretend information. They stated, ‘Oh crime, it truly stayed the identical.’ It did not keep the identical. It went approach down. … Due to a robust border wall in El Paso, Texas, it is certainly one of America’s most secure cities now.”

THE FACT: Trump falsely suggests a dramatic drop in crime in El Paso because of a border wall. In truth, town’s homicide fee was lower than half the nationwide common in 2005, the 12 months earlier than the beginning of its border fence. It is true that the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report reveals that El Paso’s annual variety of reported violent crimes dropped from practically 5,000 in 1995 to round 2,700 in 2016. However that corresponded with related declines in violent crime nationwide and included durations when town’s crime charges elevated 12 months over 12 months, regardless of new fencing and partitions.

TRUMP, on his proposed wall: “We have constructed a whole lot of it.” — rally remarks.

TRUMP: “We have truly began a giant, huge portion of the wall as we speak at an important location, and it is going to go up fairly rapidly over the subsequent 9 months. That entire space will likely be completed. It is totally funded … and we will have a whole lot of wall being constructed over the subsequent time frame.” — White Home remarks.

THE FACTS: There’s much less happening right here than his phrases convey. Development is getting began on merely 14 miles (23 kilometers) of prolonged barrier, accepted by Congress a couple of 12 months in the past in an appropriation that additionally licensed cash to renovate and strengthen some current fencing. The extension will likely be in Texas’ Rio Grande Valley. That is not a “huge, huge portion” of the grand challenge he promised in his marketing campaign and numerous instances since — a wall that, mixed with current fencing and pure obstacles, would seal the practically 2,000-mile (3,200-kilometer) border with Mexico.

The struggle with Democrats in Congress now could be over his demand for a $5.7 billion down fee on the wall. That cash would pay for slightly over 200 miles (320 kilometers) of latest barrier. Democrats have refused to approve something near that for prolonged barrier building.

Trump additionally promised within the marketing campaign that he would make Mexico pay for the wall, which it refused to do.

He inherited over 650 miles (1,050 kilometers) of border barrier from earlier administrations.

TRUMP, on preparations for his rally: “We’ve got a line that could be very lengthy already. I imply, you see what is going on on. And I perceive our competitor’s obtained a line, too, however it’s a tiny little line.” — on the White Home.

THE FACTS: That is not true. His remark happened 4 hours earlier than his El Paso rally and a competing one close by, led by Beto O’Rourke, a potential Democratic presidential contender. The gathering for each occasions was small on the time. Folks have been standing round in a dusty wind, not a lot lined up.

TRUMP, addressing El Paso rally: “He has 200 folks, 300 folks, not too good. … That could be the top of his presidential bid.”

THE FACTS: That is not true, both. O’Rourke’s march and rally drew 1000’s. Police didn’t give an estimate, however his crowd stuffed up practically all of a baseball discipline from the stage on the infield to the sting of outfield and was tightly packed.

TRUMP: “We’ll El Paso. … We’re going there to maintain our nation secure, and we do not need murderers and drug sellers and gang members, MS-13, and a few of the worst folks on the planet coming into our nation. … We’d like a wall.”

THE FACTS: Trump means that weak border enforcement is contributing to vicious crime dedicated by MS-13, a gang held accountable for murders in cities throughout the U.S. However sealing the border utterly wouldn’t remove the gang. It was based within the U.S. within the 1980s by Salvadoran immigrants and has sunk roots within the nation. A few of its members are U.S. residents and never topic to deportation or border enforcement.

The federal government has not stated lately what number of members it thinks are residents and immigrants. In notable raids on MS-13 in 2015 and 2016, the general public caught have been discovered to be U.S. residents.

Extra broadly, there may be scant proof that immigrants are perpetuating a criminal offense wave. In a paper printed final 12 months, sociologists Michael Gentle and Ty Miller reviewed crime in each state and the District of Columbia from 1990 to 2014. They discovered {that a} rising variety of immigrants within the nation illegally corresponded with a drop, not an increase, in reported crime.

The authors acknowledged that it is doable that individuals who got here illegally are much less prone to report a criminal offense. However the authors additionally be aware that such immigrants overwhelmingly arrived to work, a development that helps scale back crime ranges.

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